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Data and Statistical Literacy Quiz | Applied Averages, Percentages, Sampling and Test Accuracy

1 / 100.0s

Problem 1

Monthly salaries at a small company, in tens of thousands of yen, are 30, 32, 33, 35 and 500. The 500 figure is the founder's actual salary, not a data-entry error.

Which statement best serves the goal of describing a typical employee's monthly salary with one value?

View explanation

The middle of the five ordered values is 33, and the median is not greatly shifted by the extreme value of 500. The mean is (30 + 32 + 33 + 35 + 500) ÷ 5 = 126, far from most employees' salaries. The median suits the stated goal, although the mean may be meaningful for a different purpose, such as spreading total payroll evenly across employees.

Problem 2

A service's retention rate rose from 40% last year to 50% this year. The time periods and calculation method are comparable.

Which statement describes the change correctly?

View explanation

The difference between the two rates is 50% − 40% = 10 percentage points. The relative increase divides that 10-point difference by the original 40%: 10 ÷ 40 = 0.25, or 25%. A change in percentage points is not the same as a percentage change relative to the original value.

Problem 3

Over the same period, an event occurred in 2% of a control group and 1% of an intervention group. The groups are comparable; calculate only the difference in the observed values.

Which pair correctly states the absolute and relative reductions?

View explanation

The absolute risk reduction is 2% − 1% = 1 percentage point. The relative risk reduction divides that difference by the control group's 2%: 1 ÷ 2 = 50%. Reporting only a 50% reduction hides the original risk level, so showing both absolute and relative values makes the scale of the effect easier to judge.

Problem 4

An online retailer placed an optional satisfaction survey on a product page. Customers with strong complaints were especially likely to respond. Of 100,000 respondents, 60% selected dissatisfied.

What is the biggest problem with concluding that 60% of all purchasers are dissatisfied?

View explanation

A large response count does not guarantee representativeness when the participation process is biased. Here, customers with strong complaints are more likely to respond, creating possible self-selection bias. A sample of 100,000 may reduce random sampling error, but it does not automatically repair a biased recruitment method.

Problem 5

In a study of a new learning method, 200 volunteers who responded to an advertisement were assigned by lottery to either the new-method group or the conventional-method group. Implementation and measurement were the same in both groups.

Which conclusion about this design is most appropriate?

View explanation

Random assignment helps prevent participants' existing characteristics from being systematically concentrated in one group, strengthening causal comparison within the volunteer sample. The participants, however, volunteered after seeing an advertisement and were not randomly sampled from all students. Whether the result generalizes to all students is therefore a separate question.

Problem 6

A reference classification and a test result were compared for 1,000 people. Among 100 people who truly had the condition, 90 tested positive and 10 negative. Among 900 without it, 90 tested positive and 810 negative.

What are the test's sensitivity and specificity?

View explanation

For sensitivity, the denominator is the 100 people who truly have the condition: 90 ÷ 100 = 90%. For specificity, the denominator is the 900 people who do not have it: 810 ÷ 900 = 90%. Using all 180 positive test results as the denominator calculates positive predictive value, not sensitivity.

Problem 7

In a population of 10,000, the prevalence of a condition is 1%. A test has 90% sensitivity and 90% specificity, and everyone is tested. Assume all counts are whole numbers.

Approximately what percentage of people who test positive truly have the condition—the positive predictive value?

View explanation

Of the 100 people with the condition, 90%—or 90 people—are true positives. Of the 9,900 people without it, 10%—or 990 people—are false positives. There are therefore 1,080 positive results, and the positive predictive value is 90 ÷ 1,080 ≈ 8.3%. Even with 90% sensitivity and specificity, false positives can outnumber true positives when the condition is rare.

Problem 8

A frequentist 95% confidence interval for a population mean, calculated from a random sample, is 48 to 52. Assume the method's conditions are satisfied.

Which is the most appropriate interpretation of this 95% confidence interval?

View explanation

In frequentist inference, the population mean is a fixed unknown value, while the interval changes from sample to sample. A 95% confidence procedure means that about 95% of intervals produced by repeated use of the same sampling and calculation method would contain the mean. It does not assign 95% probability to the fixed mean being inside this already calculated interval.

Problem 9

Two surveys estimate a mean for the same population using the same random-sampling method and confidence level. Survey A has a sample of 400 and survey B a sample of 1,600, with similar data variability.

Which expectation about the confidence interval's margin of error is most reasonable?

View explanation

With other conditions held constant, the standard error of a mean is inversely proportional to the square root of sample size n. Since 1,600 is four times 400 and its square root is twice as large, B's margin of error is about one-half of A's. Increasing sample size does not automatically remove systematic bias from self-selection or measurement methods.

Problem 10

During the same year, city A recorded 1,000 events among 1,000,000 residents, while city B recorded 300 events among 100,000 residents. The event definition and detection method were the same.

Which result correctly compares event frequency after accounting for population size?

View explanation

A's rate is 1,000 ÷ 1,000,000 × 100,000 = 100 per 100,000 people. B's is 300 ÷ 100,000 × 100,000 = 300 per 100,000. A has more events, but B's population-based rate is three times A's. If factors such as age distributions differ greatly, adjusted rates may also need to be considered alongside crude rates.